Here’s How China Might Respond to a Taiwan Visit by Nancy Pelosi

One likely response by Beijing would be to send warplanes across the Taiwan Strait’s median line, a buffer zone the US established in 1954 to prevent a conflict between China and Taiwan. PLA aircraft repeatedly breached the line in September 2020, when then-US Undersecretary of State Keith Krach traveled to the island. Similarly, Chinese planes crossed the line earlier this month when US Senator Rick Scott visited Tsai. A deep or extended sortie across the line, which Beijing does not recognize, would put particular pressure on Taiwan’s smaller military, since it would require its planes to stay in the air.

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